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NOAA flags heavy-rain risk for Western Washington Nov. 10–12

An early NOAA outlook flags heavy rain and high-elevation Cascade snow Nov. 10–12. Local storm details and river impacts remain uncertain.

NOAA outlook issued Nov. 2, 2026, showing heavy-rain and mountain-snow risks in the Pacific Northwest for Nov. 10–16.
NOAA’s Nov. 2, 2026 outlook for Nov. 10–16. Graphic: NOAA/NWS Climate Prediction Center. View the full-size graphic.

Forecast checked Nov. 3, 2026.

Western Washington residents have an early reason to keep an eye on next week’s weather. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is watching an atmospheric river that could bring heavy rain, mountain snow and possible flooding to parts of the Pacific Northwest.

The center’s Nov. 2 outlook identifies Nov. 10–12 as a period of high risk for heavy precipitation in parts of the Northwest and northern California. It also flags heavy snow at higher elevations in Washington’s Cascades. The broader outlook covers Nov. 10–16.

A moderate high-wind risk extends along parts of the Pacific coastline Nov. 10–14. That regional outlook does not establish a wind forecast for Camano Island or individual Snohomish County communities.

What this means locally

For readers in Snohomish County and on Camano Island, this is an early signal to follow local forecasts and river updates as next week approaches. Rainfall totals, wind gusts and river impacts will depend on how the storm pattern develops. The Cascade snow risk concerns higher elevations.

CPC’s bulletin is an advance outlook. Watches and warnings are separate, location-specific products. Its broad risk areas should not be read as a prediction that every community will experience flooding.

This week’s forecast comes first

In its 3 a.m. Nov. 3 forecast discussion, NWS Seattle expected a more active weather pattern beginning Wednesday, with additional systems arriving into early next week.

Forecasters expected no river flooding during the following seven days. They cautioned that increasing rain could wet soils and raise river flows, creating more concern with later storms. That assessment covers the shorter forecast period leading into the Nov. 10–16 outlook.

The NWS Seattle forecast and alerts page is the place to check updated conditions for your location. Justabouts’ Snohomish County flood-resource guide brings together county alerts, river gauges and road-closure maps.

Check the forecast again before travel, outdoor work or other weather-dependent plans. If flooding develops, NWS advises staying out of floodwater and never driving around road barricades.

We’ll have a clearer picture of local effects as the forecast window gets closer. Check the issue times on weather information you share, including the NOAA graphic above.

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